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What does this say about Traveller

kafka47

SOC-14 5K
Marquis
Found this interesting article on the CNN website (http://www.cnn.com/2009/TECH/science/05/29/jetpack/index.html). At least, for me, it has much to say about Traveller and the decline of wonder in our grand game. For those with browsers impaired...

Why our 'amazing' science fiction future fizzled

At the 1964 New York World's Fair, people stood in line for hours to look at a strange sight.
If only the future looked like "Star Trek," with its nifty gadgets that seem to solve every problem.



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They wanted to see the "Futurama," a miniaturized replica of a typical 21st century American city that featured moving sidewalks, computer-guided cars zipping along congestion-free highways and resort hotels beneath the sea.

Forty years later, we're still waiting for those congestion-free highways -- along with the jet pack, the paperless office and all those "Star Trek"-like gadgets that were supposed to make 21st-century life so easy.

Daniel Wilson has been waiting as well. He's looked at the future we imagined for ourselves in pulp comic books, old science magazines and cheesy sci-fi movies from the 1950s, and came up with one question.
Why isn't the future what it used to be?

"I feel entitled to have all this technology that's been promised at a certain time," says Wilson, author of "Where's My Jetpack?" "I look up and say, 'Where's all this stuff?' ''

Some of that futuristic stuff, it turns out, is already here.

Visionaries actually invented objects like flying cars, but they could never work out the real world applications, Wilson says. Other inventions had the same problem. Ordinary people didn't want to have anything to do with them.

These futuristic follies include everything from "Smell-O-Vision," an invention that helped moviegoers smell as well as see movies; Sanyo's "ultrasonic ultra-squeaky clean human washing machine" (it was dubbed the "human washing machine," but wouldn't fit in an ordinary bathroom) and, of course, the jet pack.

"Scientists are OK at predicting what technology is going to happen in the future," Wilson says. "They're really bad at predicting how it's going to affect us."

What happened to my jet pack?

The jet pack is a perfect example of predicting the future, Wilson says. He says the jet pack first appeared in 1928 in an Amazing Stories comic book, which featured the hero Buck Rogers zooming though the sky in a jet pack.

The jet pack was actually developed by 1961, Wilson says. An inventor mounted a rocket onto a backpack and called it a rocket belt. A variation of the rocket belt even appeared in the 1965 James Bond movie, "Thunderball."

Today, the jet pack continues to grab inventors' imaginations.
A daredevil wearing a jet pack flew across a 1,500-foot-wide canyon in Colorado in November. A Swiss pilot, dubbed "Fusion Man," flew across the English Channel last year using a single jet-propelled wing. And a New Zealand inventor recently invented a jet pack, which weighs about 250 pounds, that reportedly can run for 30 minutes.

The jet pack, though, has never really taken off, Wilson says. The problem is its practical application. While a rocket belt could propel a screaming human to 60 mph in seconds, its fuel lasted for only about half a minute, "which led to more screaming," Wilson says.

The military couldn't find a useful application for it either. A soldier with a jet pack might look cool, but he's an easy target. Nor could a jet pack be of use to ordinary people who wanted to avoid rush-hour traffic, Wilson says. Jet-packing hordes could transform the skies into an aerial demolition derby, with air rage and drunk drivers turned into wobbly human torpedoes.

Yet other bold visions of the future have come true. Remember Rosey the Robot? That was the name of the robotic maid that waited on the Jetsons, the popular cartoon family from the future.
Rosey has become "Wakamaru." That's the name of a 3-foot-tall robot with a goofy grin that the Mitsubishi conglomerate in Japan invented to assist elderly people at home by doing everything from reminding them to take their medicine to looking out for burglars. Wakamaru can recognize faces and up to 10,000 words, Wilson says.

"Beam me Up Scotty," is a tagline from another television show, "Star Trek". But teleportation has been invented, Wilson says. He says a group of international scientists successfully transported a photon -- a bundle of electromagnetic energy -- from one side of a room to another in 1993. Physicists routinely conduct teleportation experiments today, Wilson says.
"Teleporting anything, even elementary particles, is mind-blowing," Wilson says. "Why is it that most people don't know it exists? It hasn't been put into practice yet. In real life, it's always about, 'What can you do for me?' "
A darker view of technology's future

People's fascination with technology's imprint on the future didn't start, however, in the mid-20th century with shows like "The Jetsons" or "Star Trek."

Joseph Corn, co-author of "Yesterday's Tomorrows: Past Visions of the American Future," found an inflated optimism about technology's impact on the future as far back as the 19th century, when writers like Jules Verne ("Twenty Thousand Leagues Under the Sea") were creating wondrous versions of the future.

Even then, people had a misplaced faith in the power of inventions to make life easier, Corn says.

For example, the typical 19th-century American city was crowded and smelly. The problem was horses. They created traffic jams, filled the streets with their droppings and, when they died, their carcasses.
But around the turn of the 20th century, Americans were predicting that another miraculous invention would deliver them from the burden of the horse and hurried urban life -- the automobile, Corn says.

"There were a lot of predictions associated with early automobiles," Corn says. "They would help eliminate congestion in the city and the messy, unsanitary streets of the city."

Corn says Americans' faith in the power of technology to reshape the future is due in part to their history. Americans have never accepted a radical political transformation that would change their future. They prefer technology, not radical politics, to propel social change.

"Technology has been seen by many Americans as a way to get a better tomorrow without having to deal with revolutionary change," Corn says.

Today, however, a more sober view of technology has sneaked into the nation's popular culture. In dystopian sci-fi films like "Blade Runner," and "Terminator," technology creates more problems than it solves.
"Battlestar Galactica,'' the recent television series, is a prime example. It depicts a world where human beings have created amazing technology that has brought them to the precipice of extinction. There's no Buck Rogers zooming blissfully through the sky.

The show follows the journey of a group of humans who created a race of robots called Cylons. The Cylons rebel, virtually wipe out humanity with nuclear weapons, and pursue the survivors through space.
Mark Verheiden, a Battlestar writer, says the show's writers pay attention to current events when plotting their story lines. The contemporary world is filled with the unintended consequences of technology, he says.

"There are so many things you can't anticipate when you create a new technology," he says. "Who would have predicted that the Internet would be taking down shopping malls and wiping out newspapers?''
In Battlestar's finale, human beings abandon their faith in technology's ability to improve the future. They destroy their fancy machines and start again as simple hunter-gatherers.

"At some point, you can't expect a miracle to come in the form of technology to save us," Verheiden says. "At some point, the miracle has to come from a change in attitude and a new outlook."

That doesn't mean, however, that Verheiden isn't a fan of imagining future technology. He says he grew up watching "Star Trek" and immersing himself in Futurama-like exhibits.

The elevated cities and the "Star Trek" voyages of yesteryear may now seem corny, but at least they show humanity has a future, he says.
" 'Star Trek' was saying [that] a thousand years from now, people [will] figure out how to get along," Verheiden says. "In some ways, sci-fi says that the future is still optimistic, because no matter how bleak things are, it suggests that we're still here."
 
It's difficult for us, being immersed in technology, to appreciate how much it has changed our lives. While the technology may not match what SF might have predicted in the past, what we have is certainly science fiction compared to what my grandfather would have had when he was young.

Also, there is so much technology that we take for granted without ever seeing it, that makes everyday goods affordable, durable, safer without ever having to understand how those outcomes were achieved.
 
Like Thunderbolt said above, it's pretty much invisible to us we're so used to it. I dislike this type of article when it doesn't touch on that but at least this one did, though not in quite the way I'd have hoped. But face it, cell phones, satellite TV, and so much other wonder tech is boring because it's all over. So too would jet cars and rocket packs if they'd come to fruition as the futurists saw it and maybe we'd be complaining "Where's my Star-Trek communicator they promised!" :)
 
All the classic science fictions writers of the Golden Age predicted that man would someday land on the Moon. No one predicted that the event would be televised.
 
But face it, cell phones, satellite TV, and so much other wonder tech is boring because it's all over.
....
maybe we'd be complaining "Where's my Star-Trek communicator they promised!" :)

See the above part of your own quote.

Cell phones perform 90% of the functions of the Star-Trek communicator... the only thing they don't do is talk to orbit.

And the Star-Trek communicator didn't have a built-in camera, nor a keyboard, nor internet capacity... it was "voice-only!
 
Re: Buck Rogers & the Amazing Stories cover
Sorry folks, but said cover of Amazing Stories, featured Richard Seaton flying around, in a grav belt, powered by the nuclear fission of copper, not Buck Rogers...
Reason, the lead story in said issue, was part one of E.E "Doc" Smith' s The Skylark of Space, & that is what the cover depicts, not Buck Rogers...
Part 1 of the Buck Rogers story (Armageddon 2451 AD ), that also appeared in the same issue, has the unfortunate Mr Rogers, a mining engineer, being buried alive in a cave in, while surveying a radium mine in the early 1920's, & is placed into suspended animation by Radon gas...
 
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Ah, the adventures of Dick and Peggy Seaton, I remember them well.... :)

EDIT: that should have read Dorothy Seaton, argh, my brain is melting from old age......
 
Cell phones do talk to orbit just not directly for that you need a satellite phone..the newer cell phone towers all bounce the signal to orbit via satellite dish and then get bounced back down to a tower near the person your calling as opposed to being land linked..much easier (and more importantly cheaper) to drop a self contained cell site in an area that links in with the existing satellite network Older cell towers are land line linked with fiber..and or T-1 connections
and have a sat link per 5 or 6 towers..thou those too will eventually get replaced with a sat link per tower..
All Interstate Highways, Cities in North America and many rural areas have easy wireless internet access available..(not free thou there are a few free wifi spots thruout the cites) and for those further out they can have their own satellite dish at home..
Television tech has gone to the big flat screens we all saw on star trek and they are avaible now for in home use up to 3 meter diaganol screen (again for a price) most common sized LCD TV today is the one meter diaganol ..its actually downright affordable ( a 40" LCD can be had for under 500 dollars now with 1920x1080 resolution (full 1080P)..and you can get 1200 channels on it via your choice of methods (Cable, Fiber Optic, Satellite, etc)
[I still have my old 13'" tube Black and White TV it still works thou Id have to hook up a converter box to it to even recive the standard 4 channels today) ABC, NBC, CBS, PBS ...

we Have video phone and video conferencing as a daily part of our lives if we wish (on your computer via many free real time Instant message proivders)

The Dick Tracey watch is a reality for those with the cash..(about 4 Grand atm for a video feed sat phone/wrist watch)..or currently more commonly in a handheld Blackberry type device with the 3G networking capcity (about 400 buck and about 100 bucks a month for service). a Palm, Blackberry, HP phone also blows away what the Star Trek Communicator did..much more usable...and if you really want something that can talk to orbit go for a Satellite phone ..a bit more expensive thna a cell but the new ones make the Star Trek Communicators look like an Antique ..as much as a rotary phone or party phone are today..

Educational television is out there and extreamly popular..Discovery channel, History channel, etc...

Thats just communications tech ..

Up and comming are newer (and older) powerplants for automobiles including self driving vehicles..Electric [older tech](they work and make great commuter cars cost about the same as other cars and will get you back and forth well enough)
Hybrids have a good range same as a regular car.
Hydrogen these cars work no current infrastructure for them thou..easy enough with local brown gas generators powered by the grid to split the gas from the water..(much cleaner than filtering Natural gas to get hydrogen)
E-85 (older tech) [We used to call it Ethyl sucked if your car wasn't tuned for it same problems apply today more so on computer controlled vehicles than older cast iron block cars]
The tech to have the city of Futurama built is there but who wants to pay the bill to build it..
Jet packs are there but impracticle except for a few limited applications..personal helo packs are avaible as well same story ..
Autogyros have seen a comback
and ultralights can be bought/built for less than the cost of a new car ..

Manufactured and Modular housing..now a reality...cheaper and more sturdy than current stick build methods...

Huge Industrial Sized farms with equally large equipment (24 row planers and harvester that allow a single person to plant or harvest up to 640 acres per day) (a square mile that is) Some of the Machines are even larger and more efficient..

Ship's the size of small cities are being built for non military use now.
Sky Scrapers are now common not just oddities like the Empire State Building was...Underwater resorts we got them ..Disney runs a couple of them..Artificial Islands built on demand to the shape we want..Gargantuan Dams to produce electricity..(Hoover..Cumberland Gap..3 Gorges..etc etc)

High Speed Trains...Super Sonic transportation (to expensive shut down because it cost to much but we can do it)..A stable space station Orbiting the Earth thats getting larger every year.. Soon were looking at purely civilian space tours...(within the next two or three years at the outside pricey thou ) Private space corporations for launching and retriving payloads to space ..been around for a few years still pricey but there...

Plastics, Polymers and Semiconductors have changed the world in ways no one imagined..cheap garbage bags to artificial organs to contact lenses to physical augmentation (both cosmetic and functional).

So 90% of what we were expecting to see is here now not all of it has impacted life with the wonder the previous generations would have had ..I think my generation (folk 40 to 50 years of age) are just right to catch the wonder of it old enough to appreciate it and young enough to fully understand it (Color Tv computers Game consoles etc I saw go from dreams to reality to cheap and in the home) Car Phones and Bag phones appear then later get replaced with cell phones and sat phones..to PDA's etc...
Computers went from Univac multibuilding monstrosities to netbooks and PDA's ...persoanl calcualtiosn went from slide rules to handheld comutaional devices..all in the past 40 years..Man walked on the moon for the first time in my lifetime..we have the tech to reach the stars now just no one knows who will pay the bill yet...;o)
 
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See the above part of your own quote.

Cell phones perform 90% of the functions of the Star-Trek communicator... the only thing they don't do is talk to orbit.

You misread my post, or I wrote it poorly.

I was pointing out that in an alternate timeline where we did get jet-packs and air-cars but NOT cell phones we'd be blase about the jet-packs and air-cars (ho-hum, I've got two of each in my elevator house* garage) but an article like the one linked would be complaining that we don't have our handheld communicator that the alternate timeline futurists promised and never delivered. That's why I don't think much of this kind of article (wahhh, where's my promised ____ ) when they ignore all the grand achievements that have come to fruition.

* Remember that futurist prediction? Homes (round homes iirc) would be built on a central elevator stilt, you'd come home and to relax and get "above it all" press a button and your whole house would rise up a few meters above the sprawling suburb of artificial lawns and curvy paved streets...
 
* Remember that futurist prediction? Homes (round homes iirc) would be built on a central elevator stilt, you'd come home and to relax and get "above it all" press a button and your whole house would rise up a few meters above the sprawling suburb of artificial lawns and curvy paved streets...

Well these can be done (at least in theory) but would be insanely expensive and need a full time maintenance staff to keep them working. (remember the taller a building is the deeper its foundation has to go) so if we did this with a two story dome home and had it move the home up just say 50 meters in the air the foundation would need to extend about 25 meters into the ground and the hydraluic lift to make it work would need a rather large tank.

(using the same type of hydraulic lift that hoists your 9000lbs pickup truck up in the air a meter and a half to two meters so the undercarriage is easy to get at and work on) just on a larger scale for a whole house. So expensive as to be prohibitive for all but the insanely wealthy. (the round homes are here come in easy to assemble kits and available in an huge number of styles and materials ranging from fiberglass and foam to wood to steel and concrete)
 
Well these can be done (at least in theory) but would be insanely expensive and need a full time maintenance staff to keep them working. (remember the taller a building is the deeper its foundation has to go) so if we did this with a two story dome home and had it move the home up just say 50 meters in the air the foundation would need to extend about 25 meters into the ground and the hydraluic lift to make it work would need a rather large tank.

(using the same type of hydraulic lift that hoists your 9000lbs pickup truck up in the air a meter and a half to two meters so the undercarriage is easy to get at and work on) just on a larger scale for a whole house. So expensive as to be prohibitive for all but the insanely wealthy. (the round homes are here come in easy to assemble kits and available in an huge number of styles and materials ranging from fiberglass and foam to wood to steel and concrete)

Reminded me of this:
http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,377050,00.html
A more practical reason for houses that can rise.

One of the unforseen problems of the mobile phone boom, is that in the UK at least. Superman would struggle to find somewhere to change.
 
Reminded me of this:
http://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/0,1518,377050,00.html
A more practical reason for houses that can rise.

One of the unforseen problems of the mobile phone boom, is that in the UK at least. Superman would struggle to find somewhere to change.

Aye but down yonder along the Mississippi and her tributaries we call those house boats that are anchored..we been using houseboats along those rivers for nigh on 200 years now..<not much thats new> little company called Jeff's boats in Jeffersonville Indiana Makes lots of barges of various sizes many of which wind up as house boats. <They even build small ships for the Navy and Coast guard and ship those down the Ohio and Mississippi> Still is interesting to see the Netherlands finally going for house boats. (the rise and movement are controlled by the anchor it seems hence the lack of movement 5 meters isnt very far for anchor drift)
 
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