Well, people raise good points, but then again it could also go like this: (snip of utter fantasy)
Trent,
And it will most likely go like this...
"So, New Eolara has privately said if we try moving in, or letting an imperial megacorp move in on them and strip mine their zuchai deposits they'll release a very nasty viral weapon on some imperial worlds in this area, right?"
"Yes, m'lord."
"And all the intel points to a pretty good chance they can pull it off?"
"Yes, m'lord."
"And the monetary gain from exploiting the deposits won't be anything near the money we'll have to spend countering their bio-war threat?"
"No where near the amount necessary, m'lord."
"Okay, take some memos... First, to the LSP sector chief... Begin with all the usual mumbo jumbo and then let him know we can't support his mining program on New Eolara. Sugar it up some and I'll add a private note. Fink-Nottle and I were in school together, you know. Hearing directly from me will soften the blow."
"Yes, m'lord."
"Second, request an audience with the Archduke at his earliest convenience and bundle that together with all our communications with New Eolara, including these new threats they've made to us in private."
"Yes, m'lord."
"Third, I want all the duchy's spook chiefs here ASAP, including that bastard Hoover. Especially that bastard Hoover. Drag them all in, IAI, INI, S-3, everyone in the damn alphabet."
"Yes, m'lord."
"Fourth, get the Foreign Ministry rep in to see me as soon as you can tear him away from his mistresses. We're going to have to let the Zhodani, Darrians, Arden, Floriani, the indies in 268, and even the Swordies know about this. If these New Eolara assclowns are uppity enough to threaten the Imperium with slate wiper bio attacks, everyone else needs to know that the same card may be played on them too."
"Yes, m'lord. Ahhh..."
"Questions? Your mother did send you here to learn how to run a duchy before you inherit."
"We aren't going to press them further on the matter of the zucchai deposits?"
"Not exactly. We aren't going to press them further now on the matter of the crystal mining concession. And what's more, we probably wouldn't have pressed them that hard in the first place. They could have held out for a bigger slice or even demanded third party operations, but they decided to threaten the Imperium instead. That cannot be tolerated."
"I think I see..."
"We're the Imperium, Ponsonby, and we don't get f*cked with. Especially by single pissant worlds and especially with weapons of mass destruction. We, as the Imperium, can also play the long game. Dealing with New Eolara may take a year, a decade, or a generation, but New Eolara will be dealt with. Understand?"
"It's the bio-war threat, isn't it?"
"Got it in one. They've just threatened to kill billions of Imperial subjects over a mining concesssion. A freaking mining concession. What little hiccup is going to trigger their next threat? Transponder requirements? Tariffs? Traffic control? Their ambassador's poodle gets hit by a ground car? If they're willing to kill billions over a mere matter of mining, they'd too damned dangerous to be allowed their independence. That's why all the other powers in the region are going to be informed quietly about just what idiocies New Eolara is spewing in the name of negotiations. When the time comes, the Zhos and Swordies will make their usual mouth noises for public consumption, but privately they'll be helping us in this matter. It is in the best interest of all concerned that idiots who go around threatening to launch slate wiping plagues be dealt with."
"Yes, m'lord."
"Good, good. Now pop off and get those memos out. I want to get the ball rolling as quickly as possible. Among other things, we've deep cover agents and their bug bombs to track down before I can let the Navy off the leash to put the boot in."
You see, Trent, you're failing to understand that once New Eolara announces it's willing to kill billions with bio-weapons or it's willing to infect other ecosystems with new diseases, the gloves are going to come off. It may take the Imperium a while to get ready, but New Eolara and her leaders are on a bullet train headed for the ash heap of history. Economic concerns, like the deposits not paying for the invasion, become meaningless in the face of such threats.
This is called realpolitik and Traveller's official setting has realpolitik in spades. You can spin all the fantasies you want, manipulate the conditions well past anything remotely plausible, and stack the deck with nothing but aces in New Eolara's favor, but in the end the Imperium - and everyone else in the region - is going to smack New Eolara down because New Eolara has proven itself too damn dangerous to trust.
I'm sorry. Your idea may very well work IYTU, but it won't work in the OTU or any other rationale, plausible, or realistic TU.
Regards,
Bill
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