Ok if Mexico was perceived as an enemy that perception was correct under the Twilight 2000 scenario if it invaded the American southwest. The only thing is The US had nuclear weapons left over from its initial confrontation with the Soviet Union and Mexico never had nuclear weapons.
Now let me get this straight:
A non-nuclear country invades a nuclear one and grabs territory that it had lost in 1848 and gets away with it? Does the US let them take the Southwest away? If seems pretty foolhardy for a nunnuclear nation to attack a nuclear one, especially a nuclear nation that's exchanged nuclear attacks with another country. As was just said, it was a limited nuclear exchange, the US should have plenty left, so how could Mexico succeed with its invasion?
Let me add one more bit of historical trivia, in 1848 when Mexico lost this territory to the US in the first place, the US army defeated General Santa Anna's Army and occupied Mexico City and signed a peace treaty with the Mexican government paying a nominal fee to purchase the Southwest territories from Mexico and then withdrew. It seems that in Twilight 2000 the reverse of this would have to happen. Mexico would have to conquer the Entire United States and then force a settlement where it takes back the Southwest and Texas just like the US did with Santa Anna's army and government. I don't think it would be sufficient for Mexico simply to take over the Southwest and stop, the US will counter attack if this happenes. And remember the US has nuclear weapons and is the nominal "victor" of World War III since the Soviet Union collapses. Do you think that a country that just has been in a nuclear war with its opponent and won would let some third world country to the south just walk away with 1/3 of its territory without a fight? I guess the Mexican government was planning on a miracle happening when it attaked a nuclear power that was willing to use them when Mexico itself didn't have any of their own.
The only way Mexico could get away with this would be if it somehow knew that the entire US stockpile of nuclear weapons was destroyed in the limited nuclear exchage with Russia. This intelligence would have to be absolutely perfect. There would have to be absolutely no possibility of nuclear weapons left in Trident Submarines for instance. Mexico would have to be absolutely confident that the US had no overlooked nuclear weapons that the Russians didn't destroy.
Now let me get this straight:
A non-nuclear country invades a nuclear one and grabs territory that it had lost in 1848 and gets away with it? Does the US let them take the Southwest away? If seems pretty foolhardy for a nunnuclear nation to attack a nuclear one, especially a nuclear nation that's exchanged nuclear attacks with another country. As was just said, it was a limited nuclear exchange, the US should have plenty left, so how could Mexico succeed with its invasion?
Let me add one more bit of historical trivia, in 1848 when Mexico lost this territory to the US in the first place, the US army defeated General Santa Anna's Army and occupied Mexico City and signed a peace treaty with the Mexican government paying a nominal fee to purchase the Southwest territories from Mexico and then withdrew. It seems that in Twilight 2000 the reverse of this would have to happen. Mexico would have to conquer the Entire United States and then force a settlement where it takes back the Southwest and Texas just like the US did with Santa Anna's army and government. I don't think it would be sufficient for Mexico simply to take over the Southwest and stop, the US will counter attack if this happenes. And remember the US has nuclear weapons and is the nominal "victor" of World War III since the Soviet Union collapses. Do you think that a country that just has been in a nuclear war with its opponent and won would let some third world country to the south just walk away with 1/3 of its territory without a fight? I guess the Mexican government was planning on a miracle happening when it attaked a nuclear power that was willing to use them when Mexico itself didn't have any of their own.
The only way Mexico could get away with this would be if it somehow knew that the entire US stockpile of nuclear weapons was destroyed in the limited nuclear exchage with Russia. This intelligence would have to be absolutely perfect. There would have to be absolutely no possibility of nuclear weapons left in Trident Submarines for instance. Mexico would have to be absolutely confident that the US had no overlooked nuclear weapons that the Russians didn't destroy.