Originally posted by 313:
Like the third imperium has a TL15 Navy. that may be true for "catgory A regular forces" but also rember that acording to the canon that the DoD and in particular the marches lack the concentration of industialised TL13-15 worlds needed to meet all their military ship building needs, so the bulk of ships for the 4th Frontier War came from the core worlds after the third either as finished product or where shiped as components so as not to overaly tax the production capibilitys and ship-yards of the high end worlds in the domain (plus it generated jobs in the Imperal core).
This is fascinating. It's all new to me. Please let me know what canonical material you're referring to. Perhaps you can provide a few quotes too?
Unfortunately it's not true. The Domain of Deneb has enough high-population TL15 worlds to maintain the entire regular Imperial Navy stationed there. The peacetime expenditure on the Imperial Navy is astonishingly low.
Also remember that the Third Imperium was going through an upgrade phase in the 11teens from a TL13-14 to a TL14-15 force structure...
The Imperium reached TL15 around 1000. It has had over a century to upgrade to TL15. The upgrade phase is over, except for some mothballed reserve vessels.
...and most of the new stuff would have been concentrated on unsecure borders, against "proven" enemies and political centers. so the Aslan are facing mostly TL13-14 "Catgory B" garason and patrol forces with a few TL13-14 & TL14-15 "Catgory A" forces for show and deterrent.
Well, a crucial part of my refusal to believe in Aslans invading the Imperium is that I refuse to believe that Norris would keep
all his ships stationed at the Zhodani border year in and year out while the Zhodani never showed up and the Aslan whittled away the worlds Norris needs to support his Grand Humongous Armada. I don't even think it is logistically possible to keep them all stationed in one spot, but that's almost besides the point.
Then there's the subsector forces. The Duchy of Tobia Navy is going to be fully TL15, since it is rased and maintained on Tobia. So is the Tobia Planetary Defense Force. Likewise the Glisten and Trin navies. The Sindal forces will 'only' be TL14, Gazulin's TL13, and Pax Rulin is going to be seriously out-teched without regular Imperial forces. But the TL15 duchies ought to be able to pick up the slack. Especially if they get a little help from the Duchy of Vestus Navy, which is mostly funded by the 40 billion people on Lintl (Reft 0503).
Now compere that to the Aslan having just finished an upgrade program (TL13 with some older TL12 stuff) to a TL13-14 leaving gigertons of older TL13 ships and equpment and supply stock-piles and given the Aslan are a warrior people with many combat vets among the ihatei, now front the "invaision" with the regular navy of the trans-rift clans you got problems for the over-evolved monkeys.
(What Aslan upgrade program? More fascinating new canon...)
Anyway, you speak so glibly of 'The regular navy of the trans-rift clans', but it's most emphatically not
one navy. It's several hundred navies belonging to clans that have been natural enemies for their entire history. Even if by some miracle you could get all of them to cooperate (contrary to what canon says about the Aslan, BTW) they're still going to revert to being enemies as soon as this remarkable cooperative venture is over. So which clan will lead the attack? What clan is going to face the Imperial troops and get their warships shot up, leaving them oh-so-tempting targets for their sneakier neighbors?
I simply don't believe that it will be possible to coordinate the efforts of that many different clan navies.
Since the numbers of ihatei probably numbers in the tens if not hundreds of bilions...
Why is that figure probable? As I've pointed out in previous posts, outfitting
ihatei is expensive and I think the figure is far lower. BTW, an
ihatei expedition is supposed to bconsitute a viable society. That means that 75% of them are females and some unspecified number of the males will be low-status non-warriors.
...who have been sitting (and growing in numbers )in cold sleep for decades or more...
Now, that bit I remember from somewhere in the MT canon, but I have to ask, does that make sense? You're an eager young
ihatei admiral whose dad gave him a squadron or two. You've made your way across the Great Rift. You can't expect to have any luck in the Imperium, and the Imperium is protecting the Buffer Zone, and the Floriani are selfishly keeping you out of their league, but to spinwards lies many subsectors filled with empty, unprotected worlds. And you decide to park your ships and go into cold sleep for a few decades, waiting for better times? What, you're maybe expecting the Imperium to be wracked by civil war any decade now, perhaps?
...and the good old DoD is in the poo with the effects of the second civil war (the rebellion) playing havoc along the varg borders with their supply lines...
That's just the point. The Rebellion doesn't play havoc with the Domain of Deneb. All it does it put it on a war footing (Which will increase the forces available amazingly). The Vargr invasions are as easily handled as the Aslan, albeit for different reasons. The Domain supply lines are all internal; Vargr suicide packs attacking border worlds isn't going to disrupt any supply or communication lines. And meanwhile the Domain is reactivating mothballed ships and cranking out new ones at a wartime rate.
Hans