Hey, this thread was perfectly fine and civil before Larsen came on. I'm doing my damnedest NOT to bicker with him (I'm not even
provoking him. I have absolutely no clue why he's decided to attack me like this out of the blue). Again, I wish this board had an "ignore list" feature like rpgnet does so people could just not read posts from users who get under their skins.
Meanwhile, to get back on topic, Rim of Fire states:
As Terrains took every opportunity to assert their rights, Imperial officials negotiated, but soon grew impatient with these new and arrogant barbarians.
Tensions rose and armed forces on both sides began edging towards a provocation. Finally, in -2408, a Vilani merchant caravan approached too near the American base at Barnard, ignoring the base's traffic-control signals. The Americans opened fire, destroying two of the ships before the rest could get out of range.
It's not hard to see how I come to my conclusions. It seems pretty clear from this and other tracts around it that the Vilani tolerated the Terrans til they got too cocky and pushed their luck. There's no indication in RoF that this sequence of events isn't what actually happened (i.e., there's no sense of "this is the view of one side only).
It's also not unreasonable to assume that a lot of people on Earth wouldn't have been too happy to go toe to toe with an interstellar empire. Yes, the UN were all scared and angry at the presence of the Vilani on their doorstep, but they're not stupid.
There is also the possibility that the Americans didn't tell the real story to the UN about what happened at Barnard. Perhaps the reaction would have happened anyway, but it all depends on how it's presented. If they said "there's someone else that looks like us out there, and eventually they're gonna invade Earth! We have to get ready and strike first!!" then that would be more likely to provoke the response of fear and anger stated in the book.
If on the other hand they had said "there's someone else that looks like us out there, but they seem to be content to sit in Barnard and let us do what we like so maybe we shouldn't bug them" then that would have provoked a totally different response.
Most likely there was a whole "hawks and doves" argument going on behind the scenes, but it seems the hawks won. It's not like there's no historical precedent for this sort of thing, after all. And I could care less if Larsen thinks I'm "attacking America" there - it should be obvious that I'm not.
After the first "war" (really, just a couple of battles) ended, the Terrans realised they couldn't take on the Imperium as individual nations. I still think it's perfectly reasonable to expect some kind of backlash at home against the US for starting the war. Or perhaps by then the hawks had really won out and had persuaded (or coerced, or blackmailed) the other world governments to unite under one banner. Either way, the result was a unification of earth's governments.
What happened next is something that makes no sense to me. Despite having won the Barnard system, negotiated a perfectly good ceasefire, and made a promise to stay out of Imperial space, the Terrans actually
barged back in to provoke another war (with J2 ships this time).
The Terrans did not meekly avoid further confrontation. The Terrans still felt fenced in by Vilani control of nearby space and were willing to defy the Imperium in order to find room for expansion.
I'm boggled by the stupidity and arrogance of this.
How the hell do the Terrans need to find room for expansion when they've got everything to Rimward to expand into?! There are thirteen systems unclaimed by the First Imperium that were reachable by J2 to rimward of Terra, and many more beyond that if they did a deep space jump to get to them. The Vilani certainly had no short-term intention of colonising that space - the Imperium had long since stopped expanding. So why then did the Terrans decide to head in entirely the opposite direction, back into the fray with a gigantic interstellar empire that they'd just made peace with?!
The only conclusion I can draw is that either they were really, REALLY overconfident or they were really, REALLY stupid, or they had gone completely mad! But for whatever reason, that's how it turned out. I shrug.
Now, if all that's changed in the IW book, then I don't know about it. But based on what's in RoF I don't think that's an unreasonable interpolation of what might have been going on in the background.
Had the Terrans taken a "softly softly" approach, rather than a "milk the Vilani for all they're worth and prepare for the inevitable fight" approach, things might have turned out very different - perhaps the Terrans would have been allowed to expand to rimward and the two states might have co-existed peacefully, at least for a while. But that's for an ATU.