mad13142000
SOC-13
Surpsrise is nice, but CAN'T be counted upon in a military engagement. Pearl Harbor? The US knew an attack was imminent. The political wrangling had driven it to that point. So, IF the commander had taken even the most minor of precautions, the Japs would have gotten killed. (Yeah, go ahead and debate me - The FACT is that if they hadn't been lounging around on a 'normal' Sunday, had listened to the destroyer commander, had listened to the Radar operator, had even the most remotely alert base - not parking all planes in a big clump, HAVING a patrol in the air - no, if a military does things correctly, surprise is not all that...)
Look at Iraq - Did we take the Iraqis by 'surprise'? No, they KNEW an attack was coming, just not when - It's not keeping someone on alert forever - It's about NOT being lazy enough to assume things - The Iraqis (for all the patheticness of their military) knew when the US attacked - if they HAD the stuff to oppose, then they would have used it...
My point was, stuff just doesn't fall out of the sky - If your forces are working, you have time to ID and react to things. You TRY to make the enemy 'see' what you want, but you can't RELY on it...So if my forces are on patrol where they are supposed to be, not all hanging out in port, then I can ID when you jump in. I now have time to react to your move, instead of being caught with my ships in port as sitting ducks. If my pickets spying on YOU notice your initial deployment, I have even more time, as my picket has already jumped in a day ahead of you.
If I don't have a picket in your system, don't pay attention to the diplomacy, don't have a plan, don't schedule regular drills, keep all my ships in port to make life 'easy', THEN yes, I'm going to be surprised, and possibly very defeated.
-MADDog
Look at Iraq - Did we take the Iraqis by 'surprise'? No, they KNEW an attack was coming, just not when - It's not keeping someone on alert forever - It's about NOT being lazy enough to assume things - The Iraqis (for all the patheticness of their military) knew when the US attacked - if they HAD the stuff to oppose, then they would have used it...
My point was, stuff just doesn't fall out of the sky - If your forces are working, you have time to ID and react to things. You TRY to make the enemy 'see' what you want, but you can't RELY on it...So if my forces are on patrol where they are supposed to be, not all hanging out in port, then I can ID when you jump in. I now have time to react to your move, instead of being caught with my ships in port as sitting ducks. If my pickets spying on YOU notice your initial deployment, I have even more time, as my picket has already jumped in a day ahead of you.
If I don't have a picket in your system, don't pay attention to the diplomacy, don't have a plan, don't schedule regular drills, keep all my ships in port to make life 'easy', THEN yes, I'm going to be surprised, and possibly very defeated.
-MADDog