Since I addressed this exact issue, it's getting hard for me to conclude that you aren't being intentionally obtuse.
So, because you addressed it, I'm supposed to take it for fact?
As I've pointed out, you're missing some important aspects of CT with your comments.
As I noted, there is no assurance that the characters in Sup 13 were actually generated by the character generation systems of Book 4 and 5.
You're stating that the direct claim on the book itself that the characters were created using Book 4 is false.
I can believe your "very unlikely" comment, or I can believe GDW's direct claim.
Nor is there any evidence that Supplement 13 is a representative sample of *player characters*.
Pg. 5, second sentence of Sup 13 says, "...may be used as player characters or non-player encounters..."
And we can simply run the characters through the systems ourselves (and with computers, we can do it *far* faster). And such exercises invariably generate characters with combat rifle skills higher than level 1.
I asked, in a previous post, which computer program you're using as everyone I've seen doesn't replicate exactly the chargen method presented in Book 4.
Plus...
In practice, if the
Survival Rule is enforced, the tendency will be for players to halt chargen early (not going three terms all the time) for fear of losing their characters.
As I showed above, this is a big limiter in keeping skills low.
Now, sure, if you ignore the Survival Rule, or you use the Optional Survival Rule, you'll munkin the system a bit, resulting in higher level skills, on average, for characters.
Don't forget, though, that Book 4 is designed to use the Survival Rule, and a character must throw up to 4 Survival throws per term using Book 4.
I'm telling ya, because this, your thoughts on characters using Book 4 to reach Skill-3 or higher on a regular basis is plain false.
I don't think you math is incorrect. I just think you're not considering all the variables.
And as I noted, since *every* Book 4 character starts with Combat Rifleman-1, it is patently absurd to claim that the average Book 4 character will have Combat Rifle-1.
It's not absurd at all. In any CT chargen system, it's very likely (more often than not) that a Skill-1 will not be improved.
Is it possible? Heck yeah. Is it common? Nope, not if you follow the rules as written.
You have not rebuted any of my statistical analyses, nor have you effectively disputed my central point -- it is too easy in CT to produce characters who can automatically wound unarmored targets, and in the case of Book 4 characters and weapons, armored targets.
I don't think there's anything wrong with your statistical analyses except that you aren't considering all factors (as your claim that Skill-3 or higher is common with Book 4...that's incorrect).
And, here too, in your comment above, your statistics speak to a character standing out in the open, not taking cover, not evading.
Those targets
should be easy to hit and damage.
You're not considering the -4 DM for cover nor the DM for evasion. You're not considering that a 100% chance of a hit does not mean that the target will be damaged to the point where two stats are reduced to zero, inflicted with a serious wound.
In other words, a weapon that has a 100% chance of a hit and only does 5 points of damage against a character with physicals of 777
isn't as big a deal as you're making it out to be. It's akin to a D&D character with 10 hit points taking a blow from a dagger doing 1d4 damage.
Your statistical analysis is just not considering things like that.
That's why I suggested you give me a specific example where you think the rules are not justified.
Let's talk about a specific issue instead of these statistics that don't take into account all aspects of a CT fight.
Your main attempt to rebut this has been to misrepresent the average level of weapon skill in Book 4 character generation. You even attempt to replace Book 4's statistical model with the one in Supplement 13.
I'm not mis-representing anything! As I said, if you've got a program that will run Book 4 as written, then let me see it. I'll run 100 or 1000 or 10,000 characters, and we'll see which of us is more correct.
But, it's got to be a program that is faithful to Book 4. I haven't seen that yet, anywhere on the net.
I am fast losing any interest in continuing this discussion in the face of such tactics.
Sounds like you're getting pissed. I'm just discussing this here. (And, I'm actually enjoying the discussion.) I don't know what you're "reading" in my tone, but believe, from my side, it's just two Traveller gamers discussing an issue.
If you want to drop out of the discussion then so be it.
As for me, I'm just stating my side of things, supporting what I say with examples and official material.
I think your view of CT is a bit crooked, and I was trying to correct that.
Argument is not the point. Friendly discussion of CT is.